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Home / International / U.S election 2020: Majority expect Trump to win reelection

U.S election 2020: Majority expect Trump to win reelection

U.S election 2020: The president’s reelection prospects appear to be a motivating factor for potential voter turnout.

With less than a year to go before the U.S election 2020, a majority of registered voters say they think it’s at least somewhat likely that President Donald Trump will secure a second term in the White House, a new poll has found, with more than two-fifths of voters saying the president will be top of mind when casting their vote next November.

According to a POLITICO/Morning Consult survey released on Wednesday, 56% of voters expect the president to be reelected next year, including 85% of Republicans and 51% of independents. By comparison, more than a third of Democrats (35%) say the same.

The poll found that voter enthusiasm for the election remains high, even one year out.

More than eight in 10 voters say they are motivated to turn out and vote in 2020, with 69% saying they are very motivated. Majorities of voters across the political spectrum say they are very motivated to vote in the presidential election.

That enthusiasm is driven by Democrats and Republicans roughly three-quarters of voters in each party describe themselves as especially energized.

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And that enthusiasm would seem to translate into voting prospects 92% of respondents say they are likely to turn out and vote in the election next year, including 96% of Democrats and Republicans and 86 percent of independents.

President Trump’s reelection prospects seem to be energizing voter enthusiasm across the political spectrum, said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president. Our data points show that Republicans and Democrats are equally inclined to say they are motivated and likely to vote in next year’s election.

Indeed, about four in 10 voters say they will be thinking a lot about Trump while casting their ballot for president next year, including 68 percent of Republicans.

But Democrats and Republicans both have different potentially motivating sentiments about the election voters are more likely to say they are hopeful about the presidential election (21%), followed by worried (18%).

Democrats were most likely to say they are hopeful (26%) and worried (24%) about the election, while Republicans were most likely to say they are hopeful (19%) and confident (17%) about the election.

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